Tuesday 24 October 2023

A Hot Pot war szenario

 Gaza and Israel: The Start of WWIII or an Isolated Conflict? || Peter Zeihan

WW3 is running already since 1945. It was hot for most parts of this world, for most of the time as regional conflict as The War on Drugs or The War on Terror. It just may not turn nuclear or main forces full action.
The Near and Middle East is a constant conflict zone, while the Far East was apeaced after the Korean and Vietnam war the brute force way. Knom Pehn used small arms and killed everyone that had a comperable education of those he met while studing in Paris, France. Today, the Far East is Asian and quiet. A sad fact. Peace by homogonisation.
The Near and Middle East is heterogene and due to the onging WW3 no meltingpot as the USA had been since the very first settlers arrived. It is in opposite a lot more like the Confederate Natoin that excisted on today's southern part of the USA, yet having no state legal and open slavery.
People live at best next and in bad times against each other, but hardly ever with or mixing up into something new. The area is ruled by their differences and conflict and all those aggrevating that lifestyle, need to die, so the world and mankind can progress.

Gaza is a perfect battleground for all those looking for the ultimate battle ground. Everybody with an interest in living in peace can move to the southern part and if the war wages longer will at some point be able to start all over new in the Arab world.
The West Bank is due to its geography the next best place for war giving all irregular combatants from Militant Settlers to International Fighters a perfect spot to go for war living their hate to the fullest. It is a perfect mix of urban and rural grounds, the enemy is easy to recognize and arms can flow in from many channels.
The Lebanon well can turn into parts of Syria, with unfortunately main parts of the the south being populated by civilans interested in prosperty, but therefore creating an even more sophisticated battle ground of underground warfare as everyone with interest of giving IDF a reason to start a bombing campaign might get shot by concealed carrying civilians, Police or those parts of Hisb'allah with yet some brain and concious, while Beirut with the north of the Lebanon once again turning a top level war ground securing banks running off record money for realy nasty investment vehicles by highly paid hitman and assassins yet civilians staying out of drive bys and small car bomb action.
Syria remains the all ruins civial war battle ground all against Assad and ISIS, while ISIS and Assad at war against each other, with even Russians and Americans in.
The Kurdish will successfully continue to keep American Recognized Capital troops off, which might get into trouble by real Iraqies as soon as on their way or just being back into their barraks without the West ever hearing it or being able to understand the real situation of a factual New World Order based on "I dont care who is ruling above, as long they stay above." 
Iran will be no more than a few nuclear reseach facilities and the Government quarter in absence of Brigades to enforce the will of a Government that noone voted since the 60ies and Kairo will even further turn into a slum society mega town off every authoritarian control aka pure Lagos chaos as in the New Free World, but providing real freedom to the poorest, but on solidly feeded grounds.
A conflict that well will spread out and connect to bandits and terrorists in the Sahel to connect to open arms markets, recruitement and training grounds, easy to access, but hard to leave cash exchanges, meeting places and live line trade routes secured yet attacked by piracy against trucks and even container ships with Lybia as an officially Failed State as a center.
A conflict that will spread out into Europes poorest town ships and quarters for sure.

Imagine the world gets better. By war. 
Just not one war.
Thousands.

Cyberpunkcoltoure

PS: CIA, I told your agent, I won't stop dystopia, I will disable it.